Harris or Trump? The historian who correctly predicted 9 out of 10 results of the last US election speaks out
Historian and professor Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of nine of the last 10 presidential elections.
And this year, he predicts that Vice President Kamala Harris will win, writes CNN.
His system, which is called “White House Keys,” goes through “13 parameters” in a list to calculate the final forecast, without taking into account polls used in the run-up to the election.
Although confident in his prediction, Lichtman said he was nervous — partly because of the unprecedented amount of harassment and “hate” he and his family have received, and partly because “democracy is really on the ballot here “.
“I don’t care so much if I’m right or wrong, I care about the future of our country, which is in great danger,” he said, among other things.
Lichtman was one of the few who correctly predicted that Donald Trump would win the 2016 election — which “didn’t make me very popular” at the time, he recalled.
His 13-point system, each answered with either a yes or no, takes into account a variety of factors and circumstances — such as whether there was social unrest during the previous presidential term, whether the economy is in recession, and whether the current president has faced major scandals during his or her tenure.
We remind you that it is the last day of the campaign before election day, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump holding meetings in the “main battleground states”.
